Copeland By Election Result

[Rita Sherry]

Copeland was won by the Conservatives (13,748) from Labour (11,601) the latter having held the seat for the last 62 years. Not so close a result after all.

Rita

[Dominic]

Wasn't this the other one that UKIP were going to win?

Have to say, that is a massive swing.

[geoffreys]

Wasn't this the other one that UKIP were going to win?

Have to say, that is a massive swing.

Hoping to win, but we didn't.
Bloody nose for Corbyn though, feather in Mrs May's cap. Maybe she will now regret not calling a General Election at short notice
last year?
Geoff.
UKIP Member.

[Dominic]

The UK have fixed terms now though, so how would that have even been possible?

[Rita Sherry]

Flossie wrote "The main employer is Sellafield" that it appears was the problem for Labour. Mr Corbyn's stance on anything Nuclear caused concern for all those people employed at Sellafield plus the Conservative candidate is a local lady. That is the reasoning from the analysis given last night/this morning.
Quite unusual for a By Election to favour the sitting government candidate, the last time was in 1966 (not in Stoke).

As for Stoke-on-Trent I did point out in an earlier post that the populace is notorious for low turn outs at election time but this one was exceedingly low. However, along with Poppy also in an earlier post, did not doubt Labour would retain the seat which they have held since the thirties. It was however another potential for the Conservatives had UKIP not fielded a candidate as there was no swing from the Conservatives to UKIP as was predicted in fact they increased their total.

Rita

[geoffreys]

Flossie wrote "The main employer is Sellafield" that it appears was the problem for Labour. Mr Corbyn's stance on anything Nuclear caused concern for all those people employed at Sellafield plus the Conservative candidate is a local lady. That is the reasoning from the analysis given last night/this morning.
Quite unusual for a By Election to favour the sitting government candidate, the last time was in 1966 (not in Stoke).

As for Stoke-on-Trent I did point out in an earlier post that the populace is notorious for low turn outs at election time but this one was exceedingly low. However, along with Poppy also in an earlier post, did not doubt Labour would retain the seat which they have held since the thirties. It was however another potential for the Conservatives had UKIP not fielded a candidate as there was no swing from the Conservatives to UKIP as was predicted in fact they increased their total.

Rita

As did UKIP!
Corbyn was lucky to get away with this one, but he lost out big time in Copeland.
Turnout was 37% in Stoke, 51% in Copeland.
Mind you, Corbyn is a wily old bird, I would never write him off as some of the UK media seem to be suggesting.
Geoff.

[PhotoLady]

They will blame the low turnout for voting on #StormDoris
It was pretty hairy in UK yesterday!

[cyprusgrump]

Dan Hodges got it spot on...

In Copeland, voters were given a choice: “Vote for Jeremy Corbyn or your hospital will close and you will die.”

They preferred death...

[merchant_banker]

Tony Blair wants a second election, he says people didn't know what they were voting for!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[ApusApus]

Tony Blair wants a second election, he says people didn't know what they were voting for!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Is that the same people that voted for him?


Shane

[merchant_banker]

Yes, but I can never find anyone who admits to voting for Blair!!!!!!!!!!!!!

I think there is a law called 'joint enterprise" - maybe that has something to do with it.

Tony Blair wants a second election, he says people didn't know what they were voting for!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Is that the same people that voted for him?


Shane

[Mark]

Yes, but I can never find anyone who admits to voting for Blair!!!!!!!!!!!!!

I think there is a law called 'joint enterprise" - maybe that has something to do with it.

Tony Blair wants a second election, he says people didn't know what they were voting for!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Is that the same people that voted for him?


Shane

Now I know that Blair was standing in Copeland, I understand the loss!!!!????

[June]

That's my local area and I'm shocked - the Tories will close the only hospital in the area meaning a 60 mile trip to Carlisle if there's an emergency or a woman's in labour, whereas Labour were campaigning to keep it open!!!

The main employer is Sellafield and with the plans for a new reactor seemingly hitting problems I have no idea what will happen.

What on Earth were people thinking?!!

Don't know why you're shocked Flossie. Labour have had that seat since 19canteen and just look at the place. Apart from the honeypots like Keswick and Sellafield (which Corbyn is lukewarm about) West Cumbria has nothing going for it. I think people have just had enough and think anything has to be better, tho tbh I actually thought Ukip might take it as they also canvassed hard on the hospital issue.

[Jimgward]

That's my local area and I'm shocked - the Tories will close the only hospital in the area meaning a 60 mile trip to Carlisle if there's an emergency or a woman's in labour, whereas Labour were campaigning to keep it open!!!

The main employer is Sellafield and with the plans for a new reactor seemingly hitting problems I have no idea what will happen.

What on Earth were people thinking?!!

Don't know why you're shocked Flossie. Labour have had that seat since 19canteen and just look at the place. Apart from the honeypots like Keswick and Sellafield (which Corbyn is lukewarm about) West Cumbria has nothing going for it. I think people have just had enough and think anything has to be better, tho tbh I actually thought Ukip might take it as they also canvassed hard on the hospital issue.