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Place your bets...

Posted: Sat Oct 19, 2019 9:55 am
by Dominic
Ok, so in the big government vote today, it will be a close thing. The question is, how close?

Post your prediction, and the winner will be crowned forum champ for a day, along with all the privileges that entails.

The current form shows 303 for the deal, 301 against, with 35 undecided.

More info here:

https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-50096546

Re: Place your bets...

Posted: Sat Oct 19, 2019 9:56 am
by Dominic
My guess: 323 for the deal. 316 against the deal.

Re: Place your bets...

Posted: Sat Oct 19, 2019 9:58 am
by Jimgym
My guess is 322 in favour of deal.

Re: Place your bets...

Posted: Sat Oct 19, 2019 9:59 am
by Dominic
And against the deal? Remember, not everybody will necessarily vote. In a tiebreaker details like this will be crucial. Forum Champ for the Day cannot be taken lightly...

Re: Place your bets...

Posted: Sat Oct 19, 2019 10:07 am
by Jimgym
Dominic wrote: Sat Oct 19, 2019 9:59 am And against the deal? Remember, not everybody will necessarily vote. In a tiebreaker details like this will be crucial. Forum Champ for the Day cannot be taken lightly...
:lol: :shock: Ok, 322 for deal and 315 against, obviously not including Sinn Fein etc who don't vote. If I win, I'd like a crown and a sash for the day please and I'd like to thank everyone, including my old now dead pet goldfish.

Re: Place your bets...

Posted: Sat Oct 19, 2019 10:17 am
by Dominic
Slow down tiger Practice your speech in front of your mirror. We only need to hear it here in the (unlikely) event that you win.

Re: Place your bets...

Posted: Sat Oct 19, 2019 10:44 am
by Jimgward
320 for 317 against

`however, if the Letwin amendment goes in first, I think it will be more like 335 for

Re: Place your bets...

Posted: Sat Oct 19, 2019 11:53 am
by Devil
320 against deal, 314 for

Re: Place your bets...

Posted: Sat Oct 19, 2019 12:18 pm
by Jimgym
Dominic wrote: Sat Oct 19, 2019 10:17 am Slow down tiger Practice your speech in front of your mirror. We only need to hear it here in the (unlikely) event that you win.
:lol: :lol:

Re: Place your bets...

Posted: Sat Oct 19, 2019 2:45 pm
by Beechwood
My guess is that the Letwin Amendment will pass and the government will cancel today’s vote.

Re: Place your bets...

Posted: Sat Oct 19, 2019 5:07 pm
by Lincoln
I forecast- 321 for. :D

Re: Place your bets...

Posted: Sat Oct 19, 2019 5:49 pm
by Dominic
Beechwood wrote: Sat Oct 19, 2019 2:45 pm My guess is that the Letwin Amendment will pass and the government will cancel today’s vote.
Well you were spot on, however, the vote has now been delayed until some point in the future. So shall we have a vote on whether you can be forum champ for the day when there wasn't actually a vote? Does anybody have any amendments they would like to make?

Re: Place your bets...

Posted: Sat Oct 19, 2019 6:18 pm
by PhotoLady
So, what do we make of the "meaningful vote" referred to by Rees-Mogg after almost all of the conservative side left the chamber this afternoon?

Re: Place your bets...

Posted: Sat Oct 19, 2019 11:23 pm
by Dominic
PhotoLady wrote: Sat Oct 19, 2019 6:18 pm So, what do we make of the "meaningful vote" referred to by Rees-Mogg after almost all of the conservative side left the chamber this afternoon?
No idea what you are talking about I'm afraid.

Re: Place your bets...

Posted: Sun Oct 20, 2019 1:01 pm
by Jimgward
I think Boris and some of his cohorts are being very childish in how they are dealing with all this. Sending a letter without a signature then sending another letter... not very statesmanlike. A PM is an elected representative of his/her party and as such, has to take advice from within the cabinet. He seems to only listen to Dominic Cummings, as despicable a character as you could imagine.

I think most of us expect a deal to be done, but the vote yesterday was principally backed because nobody can trust Boris and his party to do what they say. Even one of his own MPs said the plan was to agree a deal, go through the transition then crash out with no deal. He also made sure he removed from the deal, any safeguards. That’s what parliament now wants written into law and I say, well done for protecting us from a charlatan.

Re: Place your bets...

Posted: Sun Oct 20, 2019 2:26 pm
by PhotoLady
Dominic wrote: Sat Oct 19, 2019 11:23 pm
PhotoLady wrote: Sat Oct 19, 2019 6:18 pm So, what do we make of the "meaningful vote" referred to by Rees-Mogg after almost all of the conservative side left the chamber this afternoon?
No idea what you are talking about I'm afraid.
Les put a link up as nobody had got hold of any text about it yesterday except for the odd quote on Twitter. But as the house had almost emptied on one side, Rees-Mogg stood up and made quite a bold statement that left those still sat on the benches a bit dumfounded....
Here's the gist, if you didn't see the link yet:

So what next?
By the landslide standards of previous Brexit votes, this was a narrow defeat for the government.
And they may calculate that they can reel in a few more ex-Tory rebels add a few Labour MPs from Leave seats, and muster a modest majority for Boris Johnson's Brexit deal, in a further vote next week, even without the support of the Northern Ireland DUP.
In an ill-tempered series of points of order after today's votes, Jacob Rees-Mogg indicated that the government would now seek to hold a further "meaningful vote" to win Commons approval for the deal, paving the way for a Withdrawal Agreement Bill to put it into law.
Ah, argued a number of opposition MPs, wouldn't that amount to putting the same issue to the vote twice?
Remember that the Speaker prevented the government from staging a third vote on Theresa May's deal, on the principle that it was out of order for ministers to keep asking the same question again and again, until they got the answer they wanted.
The Speaker, John Bercow, did not give a definitive ruling, saying that he would ponder the matter and take advice.

Re: Place your bets...

Posted: Wed Oct 23, 2019 11:03 pm
by Beechwood
Dominic wrote: Sat Oct 19, 2019 5:49 pm
Beechwood wrote: Sat Oct 19, 2019 2:45 pm My guess is that the Letwin Amendment will pass and the government will cancel today’s vote.
Well you were spot on, however, the vote has now been delayed until some point in the future. So shall we have a vote on whether you can be forum champ for the day when there wasn't actually a vote? Does anybody have any amendments they would like to make?
So was/am I forum champ for the day? 😀

Re: Place your bets...

Posted: Thu Oct 24, 2019 1:17 am
by Dominic
Yes. It's a shame you weren't here to see. We put out bunting and everything.

Re: Place your bets...

Posted: Thu Oct 24, 2019 7:49 am
by Jimgym
Beechwood wrote: Wed Oct 23, 2019 11:03 pm
Dominic wrote: Sat Oct 19, 2019 5:49 pm
Beechwood wrote: Sat Oct 19, 2019 2:45 pm My guess is that the Letwin Amendment will pass and the government will cancel today’s vote.
Well you were spot on, however, the vote has now been delayed until some point in the future. So shall we have a vote on whether you can be forum champ for the day when there wasn't actually a vote? Does anybody have any amendments they would like to make?
So was/am I forum champ for the day? 😀
Aww you missed the parade in your honour!! :mrgreen: